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Jerusalem Center for Security and Foreign Affairs (JCFA)

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Yahya Sinwar’s Disappointing Ramadan

 
Filed under: Hamas, Israeli Security, Operation Swords of Iron

Yahya Sinwar’s Disappointing Ramadan
Muslim worshippers at the Al-Aqsa Mosque compound in the Old City of Jerusalem participated in Friday prayers during Ramadan on April 5, 2024. (AP Photo/Mahmoud Illean)

Yahya Sinwar’s efforts to stoke unrest in Judea, Samaria, and among Arab communities in Israel during the month of Ramadan failed.

With hopes pinned on support from Iran to bolster his rule in the Gaza Strip, Sinwar’s ambitions faced a setback as Israeli security forces maintained a delicate yet firm presence around the Temple Mount, preventing any potential escalation.

Israel’s successful thwarting of Sinwar’s plans to incite unrest among Israeli Arabs and Palestinians in Judea and Samaria marks a significant security achievement.

Leveraging this success strategically could further weaken Hamas’s grip on power in Gaza.

Sinwar had planned to use Ramadan as a catalyst for chaos, mainly through disturbances at the Al-Aqsa Mosque. However, robust preparation and proactive measures by Israeli police and security agencies preempted his intentions.

Preventive arrests, heightened police presence, and strategic deployment of security forces led to disappointment for Sinwar, as his attempts to incite mass mobilization via social media fell short.

Additionally, Israel’s political leadership’s decision to impose restrictions on Temple Mount access, in contrast to Minister of National Security Itamar Ben Gvir’s stance, helped maintain calm.

While sporadic incidents occurred, the overall absence of disturbances represents a notable achievement for Israeli security forces.

Jordan’s vested interest in preserving stability at the Temple Mount also played a pivotal role, with the Jordanian-controlled Muslim Waqf cooperating closely with Jerusalem Police to defuse tensions throughout Ramadan.

Recognizing the Temple Mount’s significance as a potential flashpoint, Israel’s security forces demonstrated a newfound understanding of the need for sensitive management, particularly during volatile periods. Past failures to exercise such care were catalysts for violence and terrorism.

Sinwar’s miscalculation regarding Israel’s handling of the Temple Mount during Ramadan underscores a broader failure in his broad strategy.

Israel’s success must translate swiftly into intensified military pressure in Gaza, aimed at securing the release of Israeli hostages and dismantling Hamas’s military leadership. Sinwar’s tactics of deception and blackmail must be met with increased intelligence efforts to neutralize his influence.

In conclusion, Yahya Sinwar’s failed attempts to exploit Ramadan for political gain highlight the resilience of Israeli security measures and the imperative of strategic foresight in managing volatile situations.